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Captain Deltic's Annual Reliability Survey separates the good eggs from the curate's eggs – handing out gold and silver spanners and ASROs in the process
There is a major change in terminology in this year's Train Fleet Reliability Survey – the fourth in the series. Out goes Miles Per Casualty (MPC) and in comes Miles Per 5-Min Delay (MP5MD).
All the tables in this review are derived from data collated by the National Fleet Reliability Improvement Programme(NFRIP), under the auspices of the Association of Train Operating Companies. As in previous years, the review is based on performance as at Period 7 (16 September – 14 October) of the current reporting year which started on 1 April 1 2006 . There are 13 four week periods in the year.
For each fleet in the tables the MP5MD for the four weeks of Period 7 is shown, plus the moving annual average ( MAA ) MP5MD also as at Period 7. The MAA is calculated as sum of a fleet's unit mileage over the last 13 periods divided by sum of all Technical 5-Min Delays over the same time.
To these current figures I have added the Period 7 MAA for 2005-06 and this is used to calculate the percentage change in reliability. A negative percentage means reliability has fallen.
Within the tables, improving fleets are colour-coded green, and deteriorating fleets red; fleets where the year-on year decline less than 5% on last year are coded yellow. The ‘red rating' is the percentage of fleets in the category which have deteriorated year-on-year.
At the end of each section there are three MP5SD figures. These are my estimates of the minimum acceptable reliability, the expected performance and the level to which maintenance engineers should ultimately aspire
Definitions
A Technical 5-Min Delay is counted where there is a fault on a train causing a delay of 5 or more minutes and the root cause is a technical or maintenance defect on the train. Cancellations and part cancellations also count. From Period 2 '03/04 onwards, 5-Min delays have included all technical 'No Fault Founds'.
Included are train technical faults under the following situations: empty stock moves; occasions where delay is exacerbated by operational error; and under adverse weather conditions. Excluded are train technical faults caused by: vandalism; proven infrastructure defects; and other third parties. Mileages are derived from actual fleet unit miles run so that a complete IC125 trainset counts as one unit. However, two 2-car sets working in multiple count as two units.
|
Operator |
Class |
Unit Miles |
P7 MP5MD |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
P7 MAA 2005/06 |
2005/06 ranking |
Change in MAA |
|
Northern |
Class 144 |
156,708 |
4,897 |
4,607 |
4,723 |
2 |
-2.5 |
|
Northern |
Class 142 |
563,293 |
3,435 |
3,271 |
3,845 |
3 |
-14.9 |
|
First Greater Western |
Class 143 |
55,646 |
1,855 |
2,811 |
4,518 |
1 |
-37.8 |
|
Arriva Trains Wales |
Class 142 |
83,462 |
1,855 |
2,352 |
2,689 |
5 |
-12.5 |
|
Arriva Trains Wales |
Class 143 |
97,447 |
1,740 |
2,203 |
2,762 |
4 |
-20.2 |
|
So much for the housekeeping, now for the analysis, starting as always with the Pacers. Last year, I was looking forward to handing over a champagne challenge to the first Pacer operator to have got above 5000 MP5MD.
So much for optimism. Even Northern's Class 144s, which were pushing for a popping cork, have effectively hit the wall, while the rest of the fleet have fallen back alarmingly. With a Red Rating of 80%, listing an aspirational MP5MD would be risible.
Despite all the money thrown at the traction packages, brakes and so on by BR, the British Rail Research Railbus concept remains a pigs ear. But current performance is, I suspect due to a combination of nature and nurture.
Last year I got my knuckles rapped for suggesting that the variations might be down to the quality of maintenance. One Pacer operator adduced differing duties, particularly the greater frequency of door operation on some routes.
Hmm, I am reminded that after their re-engining by BR, the Pacers were achieving 10,000 miles per casualty, albeit under pre-NFRIP rules, so 5,000 MP5MD really ought to be achievable. And with the Pacers leased to 2018, the owning ROSCOs have some money to spend on ‘mid-life' reliability enhancement mod's.
‘Anything but that', I can hear readers cry. But even if we bin the Pacers, it doesn't mean that train operators can afford a modern replacement. In the bad old days a cascade would have seen the Pacers replaced by Class 150 Sprinter DMUs, but the message I get is that no one can afford new trains to start a cascade.
Yes I know my old chum David Shipley will point to his low-cost made-in-China DMUs as a potential solution, but the capital lease rental is going to be more than the total cost of a Pacer. And a new train with all the disability buzzers and bells and modern amenities is not going to be cheap to maintain.
Time perhaps, for ATW to take some stroppy young engineer, give him a small budget and tell him that getting a bottle of champagne from Captain Deltic will greatly enhance his career prospects.
BR era DMUs 2006-07 figures |
||||||||
|
Operator |
Class |
Unit Miles |
P7 MP5MD |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
P7 MAA 2005/06 |
2005/06 ranking |
change MAA |
1 |
South West Trains |
Class 159 |
354,810 |
39,423 |
27,225 |
17,130 |
1 |
58.9 |
2 |
First Scotrail |
Class 156 |
330,726 |
9,727 |
8,544 |
9,172 |
2 |
-6.9 |
3 |
First Transpennine Express |
Class 158 |
292,258 |
8,350 |
7,424 |
5,925 |
11 |
25.3 |
4 |
Central Trains |
Class 156 |
105,031 |
8,079 |
7,385 |
5,673 |
12 |
30.2 |
5 |
Central Trains |
Class 153 |
122,223 |
10,185 |
7,139 |
6,376 |
8 |
12.0 |
6 |
Northern |
Class 156 |
429,874 |
6,933 |
6,463 |
6,607 |
7 |
-2.2 |
7 |
One |
Class 156 |
102,877 |
6,430 |
5,894 |
3,169 |
22 |
86.0 |
8 |
First Greater Western |
Class 150 |
227,532 |
5,550 |
5,549 |
5,271 |
13 |
5.3 |
9 |
First Greater Western |
Class 153 |
109,735 |
9,976 |
5,516 |
6,029 |
10 |
-8.5 |
10 |
Central Trains |
Class 158 |
140,875 |
7,826 |
5,403 |
6,748 |
6 |
-19.9 |
11 |
Arriva Trains Wales (1) |
Class 158 |
480,353 |
4,141 |
4,930 |
7,098 |
4&5 |
-30.5 |
12 |
Northern |
Class 158 |
238,972 |
5,974 |
4,919 |
4,338 |
17 |
13.4 |
13 |
Central Trains |
Class 150 |
254,352 |
5,529 |
4,635 |
4,175 |
18 |
11.0 |
14 |
First Greater Western |
Class 158 |
231,627 |
6,095 |
4,517 |
4,963 |
14 |
-9.0 |
15 |
Silverlink |
Class 150 |
40,262 |
2,684 |
4,487 |
6,364 |
9 |
-29.5 |
16 |
One |
Class 153 |
49,453 |
5,495 |
4,477 |
4,737 |
15 |
-5.5 |
17 |
Arriva Trains Wales |
Class 153 |
127,623 |
4,401 |
4,452 |
7,525 |
3 |
-40.8 |
18 |
Northern |
Class 153 |
147,666 |
3,516 |
4,183 |
3,642 |
21 |
14.8 |
19 |
First Scotrail |
Class 158 |
266,537 |
4,518 |
3,973 |
4,029 |
19 |
-1.4 |
20 |
Northern |
Class 150 |
326,581 |
3,711 |
3,829 |
4,422 |
16 |
-13.4 |
21 |
Northern |
Class 155 |
55,620 |
2,927 |
3,303 |
3,096 |
23 |
6.7 |
22 |
Arriva Trains Wales |
Class 150 |
148,931 |
2,810 |
2,688 |
3,922 |
20 |
-31.5 |
|
||||||||
1) Composite figure of sub-fleets previously shown separately |
||||||||
A characteristic of this year's review is that in several categories performance is polarising. The best are getting better, or, at least, holding their own. But in too many cases, those at the bottom of last year's tables have started to decline.
Thus among the BR-era DMUs, South West Trains Salisbury Depot, which won last year's Golden Spanner with an MPC of 17,000 for their Class 159s, against 9000 MPC from runners up, the First ScotRail Class 156 fleet, have won again with a truly impressive 27,225 MP5MD. This improvement also gave them second place in the new Silver Spanners awards for most improved fleet in each category.
First ScotRail are still second, but the Class 156 fleet reliability had dropped by 7%. However, as any Fleet Engineer will tell you, Salisbury has several advantages, not least, a captive fleet that comes home at night, a dedicated modern depot facility and a stable workforce able to draw on a pool of ex-service technicians.
Yes, but, to post the 5th best reliability of all multiple units – diesel and electric, old and new – is the result of a relentless drive to use these advantages to the full. Before I ran this year's analysis, I wondered about the logic of SWT swapping its 170s for more Class 159s. But the best performing Class 170 – also Salisbury based, has half the MP5MD of the Class 159.
And Fleet Manager Pete Blackman has firm views on why this should be. It is an engineering adage that the first application of new technology will be inferior to the final examples of the mature technology it replaces.
Thus the Class 170s, with theoretically less troublesome electronic control systems, has yet to match the Class 169s with electro-pneumatic controls. Anyone who has tried fault finding ignition problems on cars with old fashioned distributors and modern electronic systems will appreciate the difference.
Nor is it just DMUs. The most reliable train in Britain is the ultimate expression of the thyristor-controlled dc traction motored, Mk3 bodies EMu, the Class 321
Also in the top half of the table, note the dramatic rise of the First TransPennine Express, Central Trains and ‘one' Class 156 and 158 ‘Super Sprinters'. I must confess to a soft spot for the Class 156 – arguably the last true Metro-Cammell product. The Class 158 is a more complex unit with its air conditioning. But both are honest bits of kit which with some TLC ought to be pushing past 10,000 MP5MD.
Oddly, the even more basic Class 150, now has only one fleet above 5,000 MP5MD – the ex-Wessex, now First Greater Western, units. These workhorses surely deserve a mid-life reliability upgrade; depot engineers must know what needs fixing.
Reflecting performance trends I have reduced the expected MP5MD and Aspirational MP5MD figures slightly from last year
RED RATING 45% (43)
MINIMUM MP5MD 5000
EXPECTED MP5MD 10,000
ASPIRATIONAL MP5MD 12,000
2006-07 |
||||||||
New generation DMU |
||||||||
|
Operator |
Class |
Unit Miles |
P7 MP5MD |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
P7 MAA 2005/06 |
2005/06 ranking |
change MAA |
1 |
Hull |
Class 222 |
68,688 |
34,344 |
27,233 |
38,191 |
1 |
-28.7 |
2 |
South West Trains |
Class 170 |
82,061 |
9,118 |
13,126 |
8,502 |
8 |
54.4 |
3 |
Southern |
Class 170 |
123,984 |
24,797 |
10,509 |
8,337 |
9 |
26.0 |
4 |
One |
Class 170 |
176,954 |
17,695 |
9,881 |
10,742 |
5 |
-8.0 |
5 |
Virgin Cross Country |
Class 220 |
646,534 |
14,694 |
9,795 |
9,548 |
6 |
2.6 |
6 |
First Greater Western |
Class 166 |
226,766 |
8,099 |
9,553 |
12,964 |
2 |
-26.3 |
7 |
Midland Mainline |
Class 222 |
377,224 |
10,195 |
9,115 |
11,710 |
3 |
-22.2 |
8 |
First Greater Western |
Class 165/1 |
320,755 |
9,720 |
9,011 |
10,753 |
4 |
-16.2 |
9 |
First Scotrail |
Class 170 |
650,335 |
7,475 |
8,398 |
8,647 |
7 |
-2.9 |
10 |
Arriva Trains Wales |
Class 175 |
338,998 |
8,692 |
8,000 |
5,186 |
15 |
54.2 |
11 |
Virgin Cross Country |
Class 221 |
777,262 |
6,759 |
7,768 |
7,741 |
12 |
0.3 |
12 |
Chiltern |
Class 168/0 |
56,004 |
9,334 |
7,500 |
4,295 |
17 |
74.6 |
13 |
First Transpennine Express |
Class 185 |
347,829 |
6,820 |
7,451 |
|
|
|
14 |
Chiltern |
Class 168/1 |
110,967 |
9,247 |
6,927 |
8,054 |
11 |
-14.0 |
15 |
First Greater Western |
Class 180 |
186,893 |
5,663 |
6,236 |
7,398 |
13 |
-15.7 |
16 |
Chiltern |
Class 165/0 |
314,153 |
8,055 |
6,193 |
6,383 |
10 |
-3.0 |
17 |
Central Trains |
Class 170 |
605,534 |
6,055 |
5,789 |
5,101 |
16 |
13.5 |
18 |
Chiltern |
Class 168/2 |
74,583 |
7,458 |
3,550 |
8,094 |
10 |
-56.1 |
Performance of the new generation DMUs, in which I include the immediately pre-privatisation Networker Turbos, is, to put it mildly, all over the place.
For Hull Trains, the honeymoon is over and the rough and tumble of daily operation is being felt, even under the relatively benign operating conditions. But with a MP5MD of 27,000 they are nearly three times better than the next best 22X units where it looks as though reliability improvement has reached a plateau. These are complex pieces of kit, but I would hope to see continuous improvement start again, one the first batch of reliability mod's have shaken down.
Of course, the Class 170 is now part of the furniture and in second and third places South West Trains and Southern, have really gripped their small fleets, producing improvements of 54% and 26% respectively. Similarly, at Chester , ATW and Alstom have continued the, long-overdue, upwards march of the Class 175, with a 54% gain to a respectable 8000 MP5MD. Back in P7 2004-05, the MPC was 2,375.
Interestingly, according to Informed Sources, Alstom are getting some serious hours between overhauls on the Cummins engines in the Class 175s. One report says 25,000 hours.
This is attributed to two factors. First the use of a high quality Shell oil, and second, the units' compressors which are driven by an electric motor rather than directly from the engine.
When a driver takes over a train first thing in the morning, the engine needs to idle while the oil and coolant warm up. However, at idle with direct drive the compressor is running at low speed and so it takes time to full charge the reservoir and release the brakes. There is a button which the driver can press to increase to speed up the ending, but ‘revving' a cold engine does it no good at all, shortening its life.
With electric drive, which is a it more expensive to make, the compressor runs at full speed immediately. Now there's an interesting subject for a whole life cost analysis.
At the bottom of the table, something has clearly gone seriously adrift with Chiltern's Class 168/2 fleet, although the P7 MP5MD is more in line with other fleets in this category. Chiltern clearly knows what needs to be done, however, because last year's lanterne rouge, the Class 168/0, is this years silver spanner winner.
RED RATING 44% (29%)
MINIMUM MP5MD 10,000
EXPECTED MP5MD 15,000
ASPIRATION MP5MD 20,000
BR era EMU |
||||||||
2006-07 figures |
||||||||
|
Operator |
Class |
Unit Miles |
P7 MP5MD |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
P7 MAA 2005/06 |
2005/06 ranking |
change MAA |
1 |
Silverlink |
Class 321 |
321,359 |
35,707 |
43,267 |
40,687 |
1 |
6.34 |
2 |
South West Trains |
Class 442 |
322,798 |
29,345 |
28,885 |
15,398 |
5 |
87.59 |
3 |
One |
Class 317/7 |
286,673 |
15,926 |
26,624 |
19,386 |
4 |
37.33 |
4 |
One |
Class 321 |
543,279 |
27,164 |
21,098 |
21,620 |
3 |
-2.41 |
5 |
South West Trains |
Class 455 |
324,269 |
21,618 |
19,446 |
21,854 |
2 |
-11.02 |
6 |
South West Trains |
Class 455R |
334,556 |
17,608 |
17,199 |
9,143 |
15 |
88.10 |
7 |
First Scotrail |
Class 320 |
139,225 |
9,282 |
14,642 |
14,215 |
9 |
3.00 |
8 |
First Capital Connect |
Class 319 (1) |
837,083 |
10,208 |
12,756 |
14,786 |
6 & 10 |
-13.73 |
9 |
One |
Class 317/1 & 317/6 |
179,933 |
11,246 |
12,734 |
10,662 |
12 |
19.43 |
10 |
First Capital Connect |
Class 317/1 |
105,165 |
15,024 |
11,488 |
14,607 |
7 |
-21.35 |
11 |
Southern |
Class 456 |
121,840 |
7,167 |
10,168 |
13,095 |
11 |
-22.35 |
12 |
First Capital Connect |
Class 313 |
249,167 |
16,611 |
9,613 |
10,002 |
13 |
-3.89 |
13 |
Southern |
Class 319/0 |
19,794 |
4,949 |
9,148 |
9,876 |
14 |
-7.38 |
14 |
Silverlink |
Class 508 |
10,816 |
10,816 |
8,140 |
8,367 |
16 |
-2.71 |
15 |
Northern |
Class 321 |
24,059 |
8,020 |
7,893 |
6,520 |
22 |
21.05 |
16 |
One |
Class 315 (GE) |
243,720 |
10,597 |
7,636 |
8,295 |
17 |
-7.94 |
17 |
Southern |
Class 455/8 |
286,033 |
6,976 |
7,010 |
7,161 |
19 |
-2.12 |
18 |
Southern |
Class 319/2 |
25,604 |
4,267 |
6,550 |
14,255 |
8 |
-54.05 |
19 |
First Scotrail |
Class 318 |
178,553 |
6,867 |
6,396 |
6,619 |
20 |
-3.38 |
20 |
Merseyrail |
Class 508 |
163,207 |
7,419 |
6,353 |
5,050 |
25 |
25.82 |
21 |
Merseyrail |
Class 507 |
182,792 |
8,309 |
5,880 |
4,913 |
26 |
19.68 |
22 |
One |
Class 317/5 |
76,760 |
3,838 |
5,399 |
|
|
|
23 |
Silverlink |
Class 313 |
129,779 |
7,210 |
4,905 |
6,427 |
23 |
-23.69 |
24 |
Southeastern |
Class 508 |
63,735 |
3,749 |
4,659 |
6,525 |
21 |
-28.60 |
25 |
One |
Class 315 (WA) |
109,883 |
3,330 |
4,655 |
5,512 |
24 |
-15.54 |
26 |
First Scotrail |
Class 322 |
24,033 |
4,006 |
4,495 |
7,448 |
18 |
-39.65 |
27 |
First Scotrail |
Class 314 |
87,088 |
5,806 |
3,704 |
3,558 |
27 |
4.08 |
1) Composite 319/3 and 319/4 from last year |
||||||||
Continuing the unsettling polarisation in this year's review, the BR EMU fleets appear to fit into three groups. The superstars are reaching 20,000 MP5MD and above, the solid achievers in the 8000-15000 range but the bottom third at 6,000 and under.
There are mitigating circumstances. Note that positions in the table are, with notable exceptions, in increasing order of age of the fleet. Four of the bottom five are 25-30 years old, but that does not explain the massive reductions in reliability compared with last year.
Why, for example, does the all-conquering London Lines Engineering team get half the MP5MD from the Silverlink Class 313 fleet that First Capital Connect achieves? This is, of course, a trick question because London Lines ran Hornsey Depot before FCC took over in April. But it is a valid question because while the FCC units are continually switching from AC to DC traction on the way into Moorgate, the Silverlink units are DC only.
There are similar anomalies in the Class 317s and Class 319s. And why the disparity between One's two Class 315 sub-fleets?
Pondering performance in this category I did note one factor. Nearly all the top 10 fleets are accumulating over 300,000 miles a period. This both provides the statistical data for continuous improvement programmes while cushioning the NFRIP statistics against the usolated major failure.
In contrast, at the bottom of the table no one is over 200,000 miles a period and there are several below 100,000 miles.
What conclusions can we draw from these statistics? I would suggest that with the current new trains order-hiatus, and with most fleets tacitly expected by DfT Rail to run through to 2020, now is the time to launch some substantial mid-life upgrades. Elsewhere in this issue you can read what just such a scheme has achieved for First Capital Connect's Class 319s.
Given this year's performance I have both reduced the minimum MP5MD to 12,000 and increased the aspiration to 45,000. It's been that sort of year.
Oh, yes, and for all those readers who share Captain Deltic's fondness for the Class 442 and are up in arms about its withdrawal by SWT on 13 January, note how close the ‘plastic pigs' were to winning a silver spanner for most improved fleet.
RED RATING 53% (30%)
MINIMUM MP5MD 12,000
EXPECTED MP5MD 20,000
ASPIRATION MP5MD 45,000
2006-07 figures |
||||||||
Three phase drive EMUs |
||||||||
|
Operator |
Class |
Unit Miles |
P7 2006/07 MP5MD |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
P7 MAA 2005/06 |
2005/06 ranking |
change MAA |
1 |
c2c |
Class 357 |
464,560 |
51,618 |
37,391 |
43,183 |
1 |
-13.4 |
2 |
One |
Class 360 |
220,895 |
22,090 |
31,563 |
14,212 |
7 |
122.1 |
3 |
Southern |
Class 377/3 |
245,436 |
24,544 |
25,844 |
17,733 |
4 |
45.7 |
4 |
Southeastern |
Class 375/3,6&7 |
591,976 |
36,999 |
25,622 |
17,069 |
5 |
50.1 |
5 |
Southeastern |
Class 375 8/9 |
538,364 |
38,455 |
25,135 |
14,441 |
6 |
74.1 |
6 |
Gatwick Express |
Class 460 |
111,676 |
37,225 |
23,280 |
19,582 |
3 |
18.9 |
7 |
First Capital Connect |
Class 365 |
493,191 |
27,400 |
23,203 |
22,567 |
2 |
2.8 |
8 |
South West Trains |
Class 444 |
505,237 |
21,052 |
23,040 |
11,496 |
10 |
100.4 |
9 |
Southern |
Class 377/4 |
1,283,510 |
20,055 |
21,398 |
13,386 |
9 |
59.9 |
10 |
Southeastern |
Class 376 |
136,757 |
34,189 |
17,853 |
8,253 |
16 |
116.3 |
11 |
South West Trains |
Class 450 |
962,240 |
19,245 |
16,962 |
10,975 |
11 |
54.6 |
12 |
First Greater Western |
Class 360 |
21,250 |
21,250 |
15,420 |
4,865 |
23 |
216.9 |
13 |
Northern |
Class 333 |
136,946 |
34,237 |
14,814 |
8,568 |
15 |
72.9 |
14 |
South West Trains |
Class 458 |
ceased P4 '06/07 |
13,839 |
13,580 |
8 |
1.9 |
|
15 |
Silverlink |
Class 350 |
139,372 |
27,874 |
13,164 |
9,168 |
13 |
43.6 |
16 |
Southeastern |
Class 466 |
208,419 |
20,842 |
12,153 |
9,870 |
12 |
23.1 |
17 |
Southeastern |
Class 465/1 |
259,873 |
11,812 |
10,048 |
8,944 |
14 |
12.3 |
18 |
Central Trains |
Class 350 |
152,035 |
15,204 |
10,003 |
|
|
|
19 |
Southeastern |
Class 465/9 |
244,234 |
16,282 |
9,385 |
4,963 |
22 |
89.1 |
20 |
Southeastern |
Class 465/2 |
92,581 |
13,226 |
8,637 |
7,339 |
17 |
17.7 |
21 |
Southeastern |
Class 465/0 |
270,167 |
9,649 |
8,199 |
6,904 |
19 |
18.8 |
22 |
Central Trains |
Class 323 |
190,092 |
6,789 |
6,651 |
6,287 |
20 |
5.8 |
23 |
First Scotrail |
Class 334 |
351,214 |
8,566 |
6,524 |
7,292 |
18 |
-10.5 |
24 |
Northern |
Class 323 |
99,420 |
6,214 |
5,496 |
5,478 |
21 |
0.3 |
At last, some unambiguous good news. Only two red ratings and almost every fleet showing double digit percentage improvements, with some more than doubling last year's figures.
There are so many meritorious performances, that it is almost invidious to pick out individual fleets. Despite an endemic fault with the Class 357, Bombardier and London Lines sorted the problem and held off one's fast improving Siemens Class 360 for top spot.
Bombardier's Electrostar continues to be the master on the more environmentally demanding DC electrified lines, although Siemen's Desiro, in the form of the Class 444 is closing in on the 25000 MP5MD club. Note, too, in the tight group at 23,000, the Gatwick Express 460 (dedicated depot and well trained drivers), and my local Class 365s.
While this table is nominally about new generation EMUs, BR's three phase drive Class 323s and Networkers are listed in this category. The Class 365 combined the excellence of BREL 's mechanical parts with GEC Alsthom's traction package. That it can hold its own with equipment benefiting from at least a generation of technical progress in traction technology is a tribute both to the Networker concept and the TLC provided by Hornsey Depot.
I suspect that the difference between SWT's two Desiro fleets is down to duty cycle. You would expect the outer suburban Class 444 to suffer less from doors than the inner suburban Class 450.
Shall I point out that the 442 beats the 444 by 5000 miles? Better not, it might be construed as mischievous and Luddite. And wasn't the Class 450 intended to equal the 50,000 MPC (and better) of the slam door stock it replaced?
Congratulations to Siemens for not weaselling on this one. In reality, NFRIP is a much more demanding task-master that the reliability regimes in new train contracts, excluding a number of causes. According to one senior engineer, who should know, contractual failures, which are down to the manufacturer, typically represent a third to a half of NFRIP casualties for a fleet.
A key factor in this encouraging performance is the involvement of the manufacturers, ranging from spares support to total train service provision packages. Both Bombardier and Siemens are maintaining their own kit, sometimes in purpose equipped depots. Alstom supports the Class 460s directly.
Such involvement brings multiple benefits. First the staff can be trained to maintain the kit to the manual. Second, you don't have a third party buying ‘pattern' spare parts because they are cheaper and third, a long term contractual commitment to improving reliability and availability – backed by bonuses – justifies spending on upgrades.
And when latent endemic faults start to emerge, as they will, the maintenance people are backed by their companies' manufacturing resources. For example, when the Class 390 Pendolino traction packages started to suffer from IGBTs failing after around 4,000 hours in service, West Coast Train Care was able to put Preston Works on the job.
Similarly, at Ilford, c2c pay tribute to the efficiency with which Bombardier carried out the modification programme when the Class 357 fleet ran into the sensitivity of the transformers' Buchholz relays to low atmospheric pressure .
It may be unfair to put the BR first generation three phase drive EMUs in such company. South East think so because, as reported elsewhere, HSBC Rail are retrofitting the Class 465s with Hitachi traction packages.
Given the 2020 deadline for RVAR compliance, the economics of such retrofits must be finely balanced. But if it can be made to pay, the Class 323s are also potential candidates for a heart transplant and I can't see Alstom and Siemens leaving this back door open.
Meanwhile, given the improving performance I have raised the expected reliability from 20,000 to 25,000 MP5MD
RED RATING 8% (9%)
MINIMUM MP5MD 15,000
EXPECTED MP5MD 25,000
ASPIRATIOPN MP5MD 50,000
Intercity 2006-07 figures |
||||||||
|
Operator |
Class |
Unit Miles |
P7 MP5MD |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
P7 MAA 2005/06 |
2005/06 ranking |
change MAA |
1 |
GNER |
IC225 |
482,293 |
17,863 |
18,522 |
13,397 |
1 |
38.25 |
2 |
Virgin West Coast |
Class 390 |
1,000,030 |
10,204 |
9,372 |
3,772 |
6 |
148.43 |
3 |
GNER |
HST Set |
173,002 |
6,654 |
9,202 |
7,532 |
3 |
22.18 |
4 |
Midland Mainline |
HST Set |
185,167 |
9,258 |
7,185 |
7,934 |
2 |
-9.44 |
5 |
First Greater Western |
HST Set |
741,849 |
8,064 |
6,903 |
7,193 |
4 |
-4.03 |
6 |
One |
Electric-loco Trainset |
206,115 |
5,153 |
4,873 |
4,171 |
5 |
16.82 |
More good news, with only one red entry and some considerable improvements. An emerging theme of this year's review is that with DfT Rail unable to fund new trains, what money is available should be spent on reliability upgrades for the mid-life fleets.
Just what this can achieve is demonstrated by the performance of the GNER IC225 fleet. The performance upgrade to the Class 91 locomotives, with the manufacturer and owning ROSCO heavily involved, was followed by the Mallard mid-life refurbishment of the Mk 4 coach which included attention to the known problem areas – such as auxiliary power supplies.
As a rule of thumb, once a fleet gets up to around 15,000 MP5MD, its effect on PPM becomes secondary compared with other factors. It will be interesting to see whether GNERs engineers can get the IC225 MAA above 20,000.
Mind you, it is not all IC225. To inject a bit of ‘needle', Captain Deltic's personal Golden Spanner in this 30 th Anniversary Year of 125 mile/h operation was for the most reliable InterCity 125. The lads and lassies at Craigentinny walked it with a 22% improvement where their rivals fell back. With GNER engineers waxing lyrical over their pimped 43s coming out of Loughborough, five figure reliability is expected next year.
Despite coming from a very long way back, the Virgin West Coast Pendolino fleet's Silver spanner was well earned. As reported above a latent endemic fault emerged during the year and was dealt with. But really, guys, it's no time to rest on your spanners when a 30 year old diesel train is more reliable!
RED RATING 17% (nil)
MINIMUM MP5MD
ELECTRIC TRACTION 15,000
IC125 8,500
EXPECTED MP5MD
ELECTRIC TRACTION 20,000
IC125 10,000
ASPIRATION MP5MD
ELECTRIC TRACTION 25,000
IC125 15,000
Simply the best - the 25k Club |
|||
|
Operator |
Class |
P7 MAA 2006-07 |
1 |
Silverlink |
Class 321 |
43,267 |
2 |
c2c |
Class 357 |
37,391 |
3 |
One |
Class 360 |
31,563 |
4 |
South West Trains |
Class 442 |
28,885 |
5 |
Hull Trains |
Class 222 |
27,233 |
6 |
South West Trains |
Class 159 |
27,225 |
7 |
One |
Class 317/7 |
26,624 |
8 |
Southern |
Class 377/3 |
25,844 |
9 |
Southeastern |
Class 375/3,6&7 |
25,622 |
10 |
Southeastern |
Class 375 8/9 |
25,135 |
Here are the ten members of the exclusive 25k Club, headed by the most reliable trains in Britain , the class 321 fleet of Silverlink. And what a mixed batch they are, virtually defying analysis.
You could argue that the list shows that with EMUs it is easier to get high reliability on AC rather than DC electrified Lines. That it matters not whether a DMU is last generation hydraulic transmission or new generation electric transmission if the service if the operating conditions are favourable and that on DC routes a well set up English Electric camshaft control and motors with commutators and brushes blows all this new fangled three phase drive kit into the weed.
But really, I should conclude by paying tribute to all those involved in producing such sterling performance. And what makes the top 10 simply the best is the fact that NFRIP is a uniquely rigorous assessment. So my thanks also to David Sawyer, NFRIP Chairman, Rebeka Sellick Engineering Director ATOC (not to mention baby Miriam) and all those associated with the scheme. I know you don't approve of this review, or the Golden Spanners awards, but thanks to your hard work we can celebrate excellence once a year.
Golden Spanners 2006-07 |
|||||||||
Spanner |
Category |
Class |
MP5MD |
% improvement |
Operator |
Depot |
Owner |
Manufacturer |
traction |
Gold |
Most reliable BR era EMU |
321 |
43,267 |
|
Silverlink |
Bletchley |
HSBC |
BREL (Bombardier) |
Brush |
Silver |
Most improved BR era EMU |
455 |
|
88.1 |
South West Trains |
Wimbledon |
Porterbrook |
BREL (Bombardier) |
GEC Alstom |
|
|||||||||
Gold |
Most reliable BR era DMU |
159 |
27,225 |
|
South West Trains |
Salisbury |
Porterbrook |
BREL (Bombardier) |
Perkins/Voith |
Silver |
Most improved BR era DMU |
156 |
|
86.0 |
One |
Crown Point |
Porterbrook |
Metro Cammell |
Cummins/Voith |
|
|||||||||
Gold |
Most reliable new generation EMU |
357 |
37,391 |
|
c2c |
East Ham |
Porterbrook/Angel |
Bombardier |
Bombardier |
Silver |
Most improved new generation EMU |
360 |
|
216.9 |
First Greater Western |
Old Oak Common |
Angel |
Siemens |
Siemens |
|
|||||||||
Gold |
Most reliable new generation DMU |
222 |
27,233 |
|
Hull Trains |
Crofton |
HSBC Rail |
Bombardier |
Cummins/Alstom |
Silver |
Most improved new generation DMU |
168/0 |
|
74.6 |
Chiltern |
Aylesbury |
Porterbrook |
Adtranz (Bombardier) |
MTU/Voith |
|
|||||||||
Gold |
Most reliable InterCity fleet |
IC225 |
18,522 |
|
GNER |
Bounds Green |
HSBC Rail |
GEC Alstom/Metro-Cammell |
GEC Alstom |
Silver |
Most improved InterCity fleet |
390 |
|
148.4 |
Virgin West Coast |
Manchester Longsight |
Angel Trains |
Alstom |
Alstom |
|
|||||||||
Gold |
Most reliable IC125 fleet |
IC125 |
9,202 |
|
GNER |
Craigentinny |
Angel Trains |
BREL |
Paxman/Brush |
Note MP5MD – Miles Per 5 minutes Delay
Percentage improvement is based on the year-on-year change in the Moving Annual
Average MP5MD.