Return to Alycidon Rail.

Return to Archive -by date - by topic.

INFORMED SOURCES May 2007

Coming to a railway near you

GWML and ECML should be all-IEP by 2020

 

Table 1

Provisional delivery schedule

 

Year

2009

2010

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Quarter

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

Order placed

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10 pre-series half sets testing

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Full traffic operation on ECML

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GWML fleet deliveries

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GWML fleet service

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ECML fleet deliveries

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ECML fleet service

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X

 

 

 

Possible WCML build

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Start of event

X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test running

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Series manufacture

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Full fleet service

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Option

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source: Informed Sources analysis

As with the British Rail Class 91 locomotive contract, there will be a pre-Series build of IEP for shakedown testing in revenue earning service before production starts in earnest. As reported last month, the aim is to build 10 ‘half sets' which will be marshalled to create five full length IEP and also demonstrate splitting and formations for onward running.

Three electric plus seven ‘dual powered' (diesel and electric) half-sets would be built. These would allow the formation of one full length electric train, one electric/dual powered and two dual-powered trains.

I nearly made an awful faux pas with the configuration of the pre-series units. The Functional Specification refers to ‘half' length trains ‘dual powered, capable of both electric and self powered operation'.

Now, although the wording seemed unambiguous, I could not believe that each dual powered half set would have a diesel power car at one end plus a transformer and pantograph. But a quick check with the ever helpful DfT Rail press office confirmed that this is indeed the case and that all the half sets will have a cab at each end and able to run independently.

Fun

So it's going to be fun and games for the development engineers of whoever wins the InterCity East Coast franchise. the franchise ITT includes the requirement to cost the additional resources to assist in ‘the management of the delivery of the IEP pre-series trains on the ECML in the summer of 2012'. My advice to bidders is think of a number and square it.

Just think abouthaving ten bi-directional half sets on depot, capable of being coupled in any combination. Will there be inner ‘electric ends' with corridor connections to form full length trains? In which case the spare set is bound to have the diesel power car at the ‘wrong' end when another dual power set goes down at the last moment.

And will both ends have to be 125mile/h capable? And will the all electric units have to be able to provide though connections at both ends? And what does that do for aerodynamics and crashworthiness. One thing is for sure, someone should already be seeking to rescind the ban on passengers in the leading vehicle at over 100mile/h.

Testing

Test running of the Pre-Series fleet on the East Coast Main Line is scheduled to start in May 2012. Routine running in revenue earning service as part of the InterCity East Coast (ICEC) fleet would follow in December that year.

Routes are: Kings Cross-Leeds via Wakefield and onward to Bradford Harrogate and Skipton; Kings Cross-Hull via both Goole and Selby; and Kings Cross-Newcastle. These routes will allow all the combinations of electric, diesel and dual power traction to be tested in service, including half sets splitting and joining.

Particular attention will be paid to putting mileage on the diesel trains The aim is to run them through two summer seasons and the intervening winter. This is expected to generate a minimum of 2 million train set miles.

In this case I suspect we are talking half train set miles. With seven half sets that comes down to 285,000 miles in 18 months.

Fleet service

Series production trains, incorporating any modifications identified by the pre-series trains, are expected to start entering revenue earning service between one and two years after the completion of the 18 month service trials – ideally, sooner rather than later.

Initial series deliveries will be to the Great Western Main Line, followed by replacement of the ICEC fleet. Together this would require around 1000 vehicles.

Assuming that further business cases can be made, IEP production would then continue, with the trains progressively taking over services on the Midland Main Line, New Cross Country, the London-Birmingham-Wolverhampton and London Manchester services on the West Coast Main line, Liverpool Street-Norwich and Trans-Pennine Express.

While the life expiry of existing stock, plus the 2020 drop-dead date for compliance with the Rail Vehicle Accessibility Regulations (RVAR), drives delivery of the East Coast and Great Western fleets, the subsequent builds could see the heavy weight low-capacity 22x Diesel Electric Multiple Unit fleets coming off lease after 20 years' service life.

There is also a reference to a possible batch of electric IEP for delivery in 2013. Readers may have a better solution, but I reckon this could be aimed at early replacement of Class 390 on West Midlands Services – especially if the proposed lengthening by two cars fails to materialise.

 

Track quality vital to IEP

Infrastructure improvements are an essential part of the Intercity Express Programme. In addition to improved track quality to support lighter vehicles, clearances on the proposed routes will have to be increased to the new Intercity Gauge, which accepts 26m long vehicles slightly wider than a Mk 3 coach.

DfT Rail would like to see track quality equivalent to that set out in the European Technical Specification for Interoperability (TSI) for high speed routes. However, it concedes that the final specification will be subject to a number of operational and financial factors.

Technical issues affecting the interface between train and infrastructure plus the scope cost and programme of the associated upgrade work must be agreed with Network Rail before the Invitation to Tender is issued. Equally, Network Rail will then have to be satisfied with what is termed the successful bidder's ‘train/infrastructure interface' before the train contract is signed.

Infrastructure upgrade costs will form part of the IEP business case when determining the net value for money of the scheme. Interestingly, DfT Rail says that in some areas, such as enhanced track quality, it may devolve the business case assessment to Network Rail.

Reduced track damage from lighter trains and bogies will contribute to the overall business case for the upgrade, as will the reduced whole-life maintenance cost of track laid to a higher quality. However it seems unlikely that track to the higher standards will be in place for the start of fleet service.

Gauge enhancements are an essential requirement for the testing and introduction of the new trains. Enhanced track quality is initially rated as ‘desirable', only becoming essential three years after the start of revenue earning service.

Track quality when the trains enter service will be dependent on Network Rail's track renewal programmes for the two routes plus affordability. It is unlikely that the additional work will be funded before Control Period 5 (CP5) starting in April 2014. This would mean the GWML track upgrade running in parallel with IEP deliveries.

In the case of the electric IEP fleet for the ECML, traction power supply issues are less critical. Some strengthening could be required as part of an overall capacity upgrade and neutral sections might have to be modified to allow for IEP pantograph spacing.

Longer trains will be handled through a mixture of lengthening of platforms and Selective Door Opening.

 

Continues.........Return to Alycidon Rail.